In part you are correct. Once published on the Guild, it can only be distributed there. But, with only Matt's permission a FG conversion of it could be created and published on the DMsGuild. (Unless he has another agreement with WotC or OBS.)
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I am trying to contact Matt over Twitter and his contacts from his own website. Unfortunately I have not received anything yet. I am still waiting for his or his assistance's response. I created an imageless version of the mod but since I don't know whether I have permission or not I do not want to risk it and post it here directly.
Out of curiosity - can the module just be posted without all the Images etc that everyone is checking for permission on? Not sure if that would also somehow be a problem or not. I just came accross this thread because I'm running a game with a player who wants to use the 2020 version and we just realized the module we had is out dated.
Hey folks,
I tried to contact Matt Mercer through Twitter and his Agency but with no luck at all. I doubt I will ever get a response. I am a little bummed out.
Maybe you guys have an idea for contacting him or the DMsGuild?